Who Will Win The 2016 Presidential Election

Live updates polls Hillary Clinton Who Will Win The 2016 Presidential ElectionClinton has taken a slight lead in most polls but anything could happen as Americans vote in the knife-edge US election today. The former First Lady has a five-point lead in the presidential race, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. Last week the same poll put Trump just one point ahead of Clinton amid the fallout of the latest scandal over her emails. Clinton’s double-digit lead collapsed after the FBI had found more emails that might have been relevant to its Clinton investigation. But the FBI has now cleared her of criminality, even though she carelessly used a private server during her time as Secretary of State.

Live updates polls Hillary Clinton Who Will Win The 2016 Presidential ElectionThe Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Mr. Trump remains possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 38-yard field goal. From now until Election Day, we’ll update our estimates with each new poll, as well as collect the ratings of other news organizations. Live updates polls Hillary Clinton Who Will Win The 2016 Presidential Election

Live updates polls Hillary Clinton Who Will Win The 2016 Presidential ElectionTo forecast each party’s chance of winning the presidency, our model calculates vote estimates for each state and the District of Columbia, as well as congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska, which assign electoral votes by district. In the table below, we have divided the country into groups based on each area’s voting history relative to the nation since 2004. Our forecast in places that tend to vote … You can chart different paths to victory below. Here’s how our estimates have changed over time: The Democrats have a 52% chance of winning the Senate → State-by-State Estimates




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